Saturday 17 September 2011

Geithner to discuss leveraging EU bailout fund (Reuters)

WROCLAW, Poland/FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will discuss with European finance ministers the possibility of leveraging the euro zone's bailout fund to make it more effective in fighting the debt crisis.

The disclosure came as the European Central Bank, the Fed and other major central banks announced joint action to ease dollar funding for stricken European banks to tackle an emerging credit crunch due to the sovereign debt crisis.

Geithner will hold talks with EU ministers in Poland on Friday and will propose that the EFSF, the 440 billion euro fund set up in May 2010, be used in a similar way to an emergency fund created by the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve in 2008 to handle the subprime crisis, sources said.

"Geithner will probably insist on the importance of leverage to have more funds to ringfence the big Europeans, Italy and Spain, and to find a solution for Greece," one EU official told Reuters ahead of the meeting in Wroclaw, Poland.

The U.S. emergency fund served to support U.S. banks in the 2007/8 crisis. Responding to signs of similar stress rising in Europe now, the big five central banks agreed on Thursday to reintroduce three-month dollar liquidity operations in the fourth quarter.

The news sharply boosted European bank shares and the euro. Shares in French bank BNP Paribas jumped as much as 13 percent.

International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde said the joint move was "exactly what is needed" since the world has entered a dangerous phase of the crisis, and repeated her call for European countries to recapitalize their banks.

Bank of France governor Christian Noyer said all European banks, not just French ones, would have to adjust their business models and shrink their balance sheets because U.S. money market funds were "withdrawing from Europe."

Geithner is expected to expound the model of the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) that U.S. financial authorities used to jumpstart the asset-backed securities market, which was frozen at the time and stalling recovery.

Under TALF, the New York Fed, where Geithner was previously president, lent up to $200 billion, taking asset-backed securities as collateral with a haircut, and the U.S. Treasury in turn offered $20 billion credit protection for the Fed.

While it remains unclear how the EFSF could be leveraged, one analyst said its funds could be used to guarantee a portion of potential losses on euro zone sovereign debt, giving it more clout than if it just bought the bonds in the secondary market.

"It is possible to leverage the EFSF so as to expand its headline capacity to support sovereign bonds, for example through the use of partial guarantees against first losses," said Sony Kapoor, managing director of think tank Re-Define.

One difficulty is that leveraging a fund that is underwritten by guarantees from euro zone member states could increase liabilities across the board, putting pressure on the triple-A credit rating of countries such as France.

ANOTHER NO FOR EURO BONDS

Leveraging the EFSF would be a radical new approach in the crisis at a time when financial markets are fixated on the possibility of the euro zone introducing jointly issued bonds, even though such a move is strongly opposed by Germany and unlikely to happen any time soon.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel again bluntly rejected such bonds as a solution to the crisis on Thursday, saying that "collectivizing debts" would not solve the problem.

"In order to bring about common interest rates, you need similar competitiveness levels, similar budget situations. You don't get them by collectivizing debts," she said in a speech at the Frankfurt auto show.

The European Union's top economic official meanwhile said he expected international lenders to be able to recommend by the end of the month releasing a vital next tranche of aid to Greece, warding off the threat of an imminent default.

While that may keep Greece afloat until it gets a second bailout package from the euro zone, the finance minister said the country would remain mired in recession through 2012, the fourth year in a row, a contraction that is only likely to fuel popular outrage at the austerity drive.

Lagarde was more cautious on Greece's progress, saying Athens had partially implemented reforms under its EU/IMF bailout program but must make more progress to secure release of the next 8 million euros in emergency loans.

"If there has been no implementation, we don't pay," she warned.

On a conference call with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou on Wednesday, Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy voiced their support for keeping Greece in the euro zone and continuing financial assistance provided it sticks strictly to austerity measures to meet its fiscal targets.

EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said he now expected an EU/ECB/IMF "troika" of inspectors to complete their review of Greece's fiscal targets by the end of the month.

Separately, the Commission said economic growth in Europe was slowing down and could come close to a halt at the end of the year, partly because the debt crisis will hit household consumption and investment.

"The outlook for the European economy has deteriorated. Recoveries from financial crises are often slow and bumpy," Rehn said, rejecting any return to stimulus spending.

(Writing by Luke Baker and Paul Taylor; editing by Janet McBride/Patrick Graham/Ron Askew)

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Wall St advances for 4th day, banks up on ECB moves (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Stocks rose for a fourth straight session on Thursday after major central banks moved to boost European bank funding and regional leaders offered strong support for Greece, easing default fears.

In the last four days, the S&P 500 has risen 3.9 percent, while the Dow is up 3.3 percent and the Nasdaq is up 4.9 percent.

Financial stocks were among the top gainers, with the S&P financial sector index (.GSPF) up 1.5 percent. Among individual stocks, Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) rose 1.7 percent to $7.17 and JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) was up 1.8 percent to $33.39.

The European Central Bank (ECB) along with other major central banks will reintroduce three-month dollar liquidity operations in the fourth quarter.

The move was seen as good for the European banking system, which has experienced renewed stress in finding dollar funding due to growing distrust between lenders amid the region's sovereign debt crisis.

"We've been taking our cues from Europe lately, and today is no exception. With Europe comfortable with what the ECB is doing, we're comfortable too," said Steve Sosnick, equity-risk manager at Timber Hill/Interactive Brokers Group in Greenwich, Connecticut.

The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) was up 131.35 points, or 1.17 percent, at 11,378.08. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) was up 12.85 points, or 1.08 percent, at 1,201.53. The Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) was up 19.63 points, or 0.76 percent, at 2,592.18.

The move by the central banks offset weaker U.S. economic reports showing new weekly jobless claims hitting their highest level since late June and a gauge of New York state factory activity contracting in September.

Also, manufacturing activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region contracted for a second month in a row.

U.S.-traded shares of Switzerland's UBS AG (UBSN.VX)(UBS.N) shed 11 percent to $11.23 after the bank said it discovered unauthorized activity by a rogue trader that led to a loss of some $2 billion.

Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) slumped 15 percent to $177.53 after it cut its third-quarter subscriber outlook, citing a price increase that spurred customers to shy away from its DVD-only service.

Widespread optimism over containing the debt crisis came even as German Chancellor Angela Merkel rejected the idea of euro zone bonds as a solution.

A top official said he expects lenders to recommend the release of a vital next tranche of aid to Greece, warding off the threat of an imminent default.

About 59 percent of companies traded on the New York Stock Exchange were in positive territory, while the number of winners slightly outnumbered decliners on the Nasdaq. Trading volume was below average.

(Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

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World's central banks flood market with dollars (AP)

LONDON – Five of the world's top central banks acted jointly Thursday to provide unlimited dollar loans to banks, a move aimed at easing the growing tensions in the eurozone's financial sector and shielding the global economy from its jitters.

The European Central Bank said it will coordinate with the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank to offer three-month dollar loans to banks through the end of this year. There was no separate statement from the Fed.

The coordinated effort aims to prevent Europe's debt crisis from derailing the global economy's rebound from recession, a topic that will dominate talks between U.S. Treasury chief Timothy Geithner and his European counterparts at a meeting beginning Thursday night and running through Saturday in Poland.

European banks have seen their shares sink and some have had trouble getting loans from each other recently because of possible huge losses from their holdings of troubled European government bonds.

When a bank is rumored to be in danger of suffering large losses, other banks will stop lending to it for fear of not getting their money back — a scenario that created the global credit crunch in 2008. Ultimately, the threat to the wider global economy is that banks will stop lending to businesses, stifling growth.

Stocks, particularly banking shares, and the euro rallied Thursday on hopes the dollar loans will relieve the funding pressures.

The program will likely prevent a panic for the next few months, but it's only a first step, said Mark McCormick, a currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman.

"You're warding off contagion and crisis, but it's not going to solve the problem, which is too much debt," McCormick said, but added it was smart for the central banks to address the problem early.

Indicators of banking stress now are the worst they have been in three years, he said, but they remain better than they were before the U.S. investment firm Lehman Brothers failed exactly three years ago — on Sept. 15, 2008 — setting off a worldwide credit crunch.

Financial markets have been hugely volatile for weeks on fears that Europe's debt crisis will spin out of control and threaten Europe's banking sector. Moody's ratings agency this week downgraded two major French banks on those concerns.

McCormick said the long-term impact of Thursday's move was uncertain.

"I think a lot of people took it as a red flag, but it's more of a pre-emptive strike to get ahead of the stresses that we had when Lehman failed," he said.

Markets and the euro currency were buoyed by Thursday's news. The 17-nation euro currency surged to a daily high of $1.3934 before retreating slightly to $1.3858. Shares in French bank BNP Paribas jumped 13.4 percent while Societe Generale gained 5.4 percent. Traders had singled them out in recent days as being particularly exposed to Greece's bad debts.

The markets needed the boost, because news out of Greece and Switzerland was particularly downbeat Thursday.

The Greek finance minister warned that the country must brace for a fourth year of recession, and data showed unemployment had hit a new high of 16.3 percent. As the government debated new public sector cuts to secure the cash lifeline protecting Greece from a chaotic bankruptcy, residents once again hit the streets of Athens to protest the austerity measures.

Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos says the Greek economy will contract 5.3 percent this year, much more than previously expected, but emergency measures such as a new property tax will plug a revenue shortfall.

Swiss banking giant UBS, meanwhile, revealed that a rogue trader had caused it an estimated loss of $2 billion, forcing the bank to lower its earnings forecast. UBS shares slumped 11 percent and the news bolstered the view that trading needs to be more tightly regulated.

Traders will now focus on the talks in Wroclaw, Poland, where the eurozone's financial chiefs and Geithner are huddling to come up with more lasting solutions to the debt crisis.

The European ministers are expected to finalize the terms of Greece's second massive bailout, which had initially been agreed upon in July but ran into difficulties after Finland demanded extra guarantees for lending Athens money. That sparked a gold rush of demands from other small eurozone nations.

Markets are hoping the European officials will be able to smooth over those differences and show greater unity of purpose.

Geithner's presence is indicative of the amount of international pressure the European officials are under to get their act together. The fear is that a credit crunch in Europe could spread through the interconnected global financial system and choke growth in economies far from the eurozone.

The eurozone countries are pinning much of their hopes on a new and improved rescue fund, which they want to give the power to buy government bonds on the open market. But changes to the fund require parliamentary votes in member nations, many of which will take weeks more to come through.

The ECB hopes the dollar loans will ease the pressure in the short term. The tenders will be conducted in October, November and December at fixed interest rates and for unlimited amounts as long as the bank demanding the loan has collateral.

Analysts noted a potential downside to the central bank's move — it might stigmatize any bank using it.

If the market learned which bank had tapped the facility, its shares would be punished and the bank might fail, said Peter Tchir, a former trader who now runs the hedge fund TF Market Advisors.

More likely, traders will have to guess which banks were borrowing dollars. That would be even worse, Tchir said, because "there's going to be speculation about banks that haven't even thought about using it."

In Washington, Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, called the central banks' move "exactly what is needed" to demonstrate a willingness to engage in a coordinated response to the European debt crisis.

"It shows they will do what it takes to maintain stability in the financial system," Lagarde said in an interview on CNBC TV.

The swap arrangement was one put into place in May 2010 when the European debt crisis first flared up. That swap arrangement replaced a swap facility that began in December 2007 to handle the global financial crisis but was allowed to expire in February 2010.

The way the swap works, the Fed provides dollars requested by the ECB, which distributes that money to commercial banks in Europe. There is no cap on the amount of dollars the Fed can provide. The Fed will receive euros to hold in return for the dollars and will also receive interest payments on the dollars it provides to the ECB.

The Fed's exposure will be to the ECB, not to the commercial banks, and the ECB will be obligated to repay the Fed in dollars when the swaps expire.

___

Daniel Wagner and Martin Crutsinger in Washington contributed to this report.

Summary Box: Retail sales flat in August (AP)

SALES FLAT: Retail sales were flat in August as sales of autos, clothing and furniture all declined.

WORRIED CONSUMER: The weakness was blamed on consumers growing more cautious during a month of wild stock market swings, zero job growth and heightened concerns about whether the economy might be tipping into a recession.

OUTLOOK: The economy barely grew in the first half of the year, slowing to an increase of just 0.7 percent. Economists are forecasting a modest pickup in activity in the second half, but they say it will depend on whether consumer spending can rebound.

12,000 tax cheats come clean under IRS program (AP)

WASHINGTON – The Internal Revenue Service says 12,000 tax cheats have come clean under a program that offered reduced penalties and no jail time to people who voluntarily disclosed assets they were hiding overseas.

The IRS has long had a policy that certain tax evaders who come forward can avoid jail time as long as they agree to pay back taxes, interest and hefty penalties. But few people apply for the program in a typical year, in part because the penalties can far exceed the value of the hidden account.

The disclosure program offered reduced penalties but still required taxpayers to pay back taxes. A total of 30,000 people have come clean under the new program and a similar one offered in 2009. The latest program ended last week.

Correction: Earns-Best Buy (AP)

NEW YORK – In a story Sept. 13 about topic, The Associated Press erroneously attributed a quote to Morningstar analyst Peter Wahlstrom. It should have been attributed to Morningstar analyst R.J. Hottovy.

Friday 16 September 2011

Nasdaq CEO says D.Boerse-NYSE deal could be unfair (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Deutsche Boerse AG's (DB1Gn.DE) acquisition of NYSE Euronext (NYX.N) could be unfair because it would create a "silo" in which a single exchange would dominate all stages of the trading and clearing process, said the head of rival Nasdaq OMX Group. (NDAQ.O)

"The only time you can start saying this is not a fair function is when you have a vertical monopoly silo, where you don't have fungibility between the clearing and trading, and you're not providing access into the clearinghouse," Robert Greifeld said on Wednesday at a conference Nasdaq hosted here.

"I think the NYSE-Deutsche Boerse deal puts front and center the concept, is a vertical silo good?" he said.

Deutsche Boerse agreed to acquire the Big Board parent in February. Worth $9 billion, the deal was the largest in a global wave of planned deals among bourses this year -- most of which failed -- and it puts pressure on Nasdaq and others.

Although the merger is expected to close by year end, the combination of Europe's main futures venues Eurex and Liffe faces a tough antitrust review at the European Commission because it gives the combined company a virtual stranglehold on exchange-based futures trading and clearing in Europe, known as a "vertical" market.

Greifeld dropped a counter offer for NYSE Euronext earlier this year when the U.S. government threatened to block it. His warning on Wednesday steps up opposition from rival exchanges and even some brokers who have lobbied against the deal.

European and U.S. cash equities markets are "horizontal" in that securities can trade on any venue -- called fungibility -- and they are cleared on separate entities such as London-based LCH.Clearnet.

"The question is can a horizontal model like LCH or others survive against the onslaught of a very large, vertically integrated silo?" Greifeld said.

Deutsche Boerse and NYSE Euronext, which together would be the world's largest exchange operator, have argued that Liffe and Eurex offer different interest rate futures products and thus do not compete much. The pair also argue that they compete with off-exchange markets.

(Reporting by Jonathan Spicer, editing by Gerald E. McCormick and Matthew Lewis)

Netflix lowers U.S. subscriber forecast; shares fall (Reuters)

(Reuters) – Netflix Inc cut its third-quarter forecast by 1 million U.S. subscribers, sending its shares down nearly 19 percent, as the company known for rapid growth expects more fallout from a price increase on its DVD service.

On Thursday, Netflix said it would have 24 million subscribers at the end of the third quarter, down from a prior forecast of about 25 million given soon after the July announcement of the price increase.

The decision by Chief Executive Officer Reed Hastings to raise rates for customers who still want DVDs by mail took effect earlier this month.

Fewer customers than expected are opting to take Netflix's DVD-only subscription package. Netflix now expects to have 2.2 million such subscribers, down from the previous forecast of 3 million. The company also cut its forecast for streaming-only subscribers, to 21.8 million from 22 million.

Lazard Capital analyst Barton Crockett expressed concern that the changes might also hurt Netflix's fourth quarter.

"Clearly, if the third quarter is slipping, there's risk to the fourth quarter, as the year-ago period was a time when everything went right for Netflix," he said in a research note.

Crockett called the price increase a "rare, large and surprising misstep" by Hastings.

The decision to increase the monthly subscription for a joint streaming and DVD rental service by as much as 60 percent, or $6 a month, caused an uproar among customers and bloggers.

Netflix shares have fallen nearly 40 percent since the price hike was announced.

The Los Gatos, California, company, which is under pressure from Hollywood studios and pay-TV rivals because of its aggressive pricing, has argued that it sees the future in lower-cost streaming services.

"We know our decision to split our services has upset many of our subscribers, which we don't take lightly, but we believe this split will help us make our services better for subscribers and shareholders for years to come," the company said in a statement on its blog.

Hastings, who is also on the boards of Microsoft and Facebook, is often seen as a visionary for building Netflix into a successful competitor first to Blockbuster and then, with the introduction of streaming, to traditional cable and satellite TV distributors.

But the cable and satellite TV companies have been pressuring Hollywood studios not to allow Netflix to undermine the $100 billion pay-TV ecosystem.

Netflix also faces growing competition in the streaming market from rivals such as Amazon.com Inc and Hulu.

For DVDs, Coinstar Inc's Redbox kiosks offer an alternative, and Dish Network Corp's Blockbuster Inc is trying to lure disgruntled Netflix customers with a free trial offer. Coinstar shares rallied 7.8 percent to $48.75 on Nasdaq on Thursday.

Hastings now has to prepare himself for the possibility of another subscriber backlash as soon as February if Netflix loses some of its popular programing and movies.

Earlier this month, Starz ended talks to renew a deal that expires on February 28. After that, the pay-TV channel controlled by Liberty Media will stop providing its content, which includes exclusive streaming rights to first-run Sony Corp and Walt Disney Co movies such as "Toy Story 3" and "The Social Network."

Netflix "can't grow as fast as the Street thinks," said Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter, who rates the company's stock at "underperform." "They can't have the perfect world where content stays cheap and people sign up at low prices."

However, Netflix maintained its third-quarter financial outlook as well as its international subscriber forecast.

The company's stock was down 18.8 percent at $169.50 in afternoon Nasdaq trading.

(Reporting by Yinka Adegoke in New York and Lisa Richwine in Los Angeles, additional reporting by Liana Baker in New York and Supantha Mukherjee in Bangalore; Editing by Maju Samuel and Lisa Von Ahn)

Greece faces 4th year of recession, jobless surge (AP)

ATHENS, Greece – Debt-hobbled Greece must brace for a fourth year of recession, the finance minister warned Thursday as unemployment hit a new record and the government debated new public sector cuts to secure the cash lifeline protecting the country from a chaotic bankruptcy.

"There is a cumulative recession lasting three years, that now will become four years," Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos told parliament.

The Socialist government's prime concern is to revive the economy, whose rapid shrinkage makes Greece's vital cash-generating financial targets even harder to meet despite more than a year of tough austerity measures. Those goals have been demanded by the international creditors keeping Greece afloat.

Venizelos says the Greek economy will contract 5.3 percent this year, much more than previously expected, but emergency measures such as a new blanket property tax will plug a revenue shortfall.

His gloomy forecast came a day after the leaders of Germany, France and Greece insisted in an emergency teleconference that Greece remains an "integral" part of the eurozone, but stressed the country has to meet its budget reform pledges.

The talks between German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou calmed markets after days of turmoil sparked by fears Greece was heading rapidly for a catastrophic default or leaving the 17-nation eurozone.

But Benoit de Broissia, an analyst at KBL Richelieu in Paris, said the situation remained dire.

"We are still in a scenario where Greece is facing immense difficulties and the markets feel Greece's debt can't be resolved," he said. "So markets are still speculating on Greece's bankruptcy."

The eurozone's finance ministers are to discuss Greece's debt problems further at a meeting in Poland beginning Thursday night also attended by U.S. Treasury chief Timothy Geithner.

The main fear of an uncontrolled Greek bankruptcy is that it could destabilize other financially troubled European countries such as Portugal, Ireland, Spain or Italy. It would also batter European banks, many of which are large holders of Greek government bonds.

Greece, barred by astonishingly high interest rates from borrowing on international markets, has relied for more than a year on its bailout loans.

But that cash flow will dry up unless the country consistently meets deficit reduction targets and passes quarterly reviews by the EU, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund — known as the "troika."

Without the next injection of cash, worth euro8 billion ($11 billion), Greece only has enough cash to see it through mid-October.

After strong pressure from its creditors, who suspended their review of Greece's reforms earlier this month, Athens imposed an emergency property tax on Sunday. The Finance Ministry said churches and other places of worship would be exempt from the levy that ranges from euro4-20 ($5.5-27.50) for every square meter (10.7 square feet). Homeowners must pay the tax through their electricity bills or face disconnection from the grid — a strict move in a country beset by tax evasion.

"The ball in now in the Greek court," EU economic and monetary affairs commissioner Olli Rehn said in Brussels. "Over the last weekend the Greek government took very important decisions that go a long way towards meeting the fiscal target for this year."

The head of a new European Commission task force created to help Greece's administration push through reforms said Greek government officials seemed "very much aware" of the challenges that lie ahead.

"I think one of the objectives is to get out of this quarterly uncertainty ... and to combine the requests from the troika with efforts to fulfill these requests," Horst Reichenbach told a news conference."The quarterly reports will hopefully also provide a clear picture of the political will of the Greek government."

Over the past 20 months, the government has also slashed pensions and salaries, increased retirement ages and repeatedly hiked taxes — sparking near-constant general strikes, work stoppages and violent protests. Deficit-cutting targets still remain elusive, although Papandreou insisted Thursday that Greece was "not far from our goals."

"We are close to achieving a primary surplus next year for the first time in many years," he told a cabinet meeting on restructuring public television, merging state entities and toughening the civil service disciplinary code.

Public TV and radio workers held a four-hour work stoppage and a demonstration outside parliament Thursday against plans to shut down a state television channel. Outside the Greek finance ministry, about 150 deaf people protested cuts in state grants, while about 4,000 students protested university cutbacks.

The cuts come as Greek unemployment has surged, reaching 16.3 percent in the second quarter of 2011 compared to 11.8 for the same period a year ago, the country's Statistics Authority reported Thursday. It was the highest quarterly rate since 1998, when records start.

In Frankfurt, Merkel stressed that it was "worth every effort to solve our central problem today — the debt crisis of individual euro countries."

"The euro is far more than a currency — it is a symbol of our common economic success and it is a symbol of our European unity," she said in a speech opening the Frankfurt Auto Show.

____

Derek Gatopoulos and Elena Becatoros in Athens, Angela Charlton in Paris, Geir Moulson in Berlin and Raf Casert in Brussels contributed.

Mortgage rates for the past 52 weeks, at a glance (AP)

Fixed mortgage rates fell for the second straight week to the lowest levels in six decades, Freddie Mac said Thursday. Here's a look at rates for fixed and adjustable mortgages over the past 52 weeks.
Current week's average Last week's average 52-week high 52-week low
30-year fixed 4.09 4.12 5.05 4.09
15-year fixed 3.30 3.33 4.29 3.30
5-year adjustable 2.99 2.96 3.92 2.96
1-year adjustable 2.81 2.84 3.48 2.81
All values are in percentage points.
Source: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

UBS $2 billion rogue trade suspect held in London (Reuters)

LONDON/ZURICH (Reuters) – UBS said a trader who lost the Swiss bank around $2 billion in unauthorized deals had been arrested in London, with sources close to the situation naming the man as 31-year-old Kweku Adoboli.

Adoboli -- working as a director of exchange traded funds and Delta 1 trading, according to his profile on LinkedIn -- was arrested during the night at UBS's London office on suspicion of fraud, the sources told Reuters on Thursday.

UBS said it discovered the problem on Wednesday afternoon, but gave no details of the trades involved. Police said they had arrested a man at 0230 GMT on Thursday, 2-1/2 hours after being contacted by the bank.

"The man was taken to a City of London police station for questioning and he remains in custody while officers are continuing to investigate this matter," City of London police Commander Ian Dyson told reporters.

Adoboli, a University of Nottingham computer science and management graduate, was described by a former landlord as a good tenant of a 1,000 pound ($1,600) per week apartment close to UBS in London's East End, where he lived until recently.

"I can confirm that an employee of the bank was arrested in London in connection with the statement," a UBS spokesman said, after the bank had revealed the loss.

UBS shares dropped to their lowest close since March 2009, ending the day down 10.8 percent after it said it might post a third-quarter loss following the trades, a huge blow as it struggles to rebuild its credibility after years of crises.

The loss effectively cancels out the 2 billion Swiss franc ($2.3 billion) saving it had hoped to make in a cost-cutting program announced last month in which it will axe 3,500 jobs.

It also threatens the future of UBS's investment bank, which is being reviewed by chief executive Oswald Gruebel as part of a wide-ranging restructuring following heavy losses in the credit crisis and a damaging scandal over bankers helping rich U.S. clients dodge taxes.

It also undermines claims by the Swiss bank and the industry that such events are a thing of the past.

UBS, which said no client positions were affected, is scheduled to hold an investor day on November 17 at which it was expected to announce a major overhaul of the investment bank.

"The matter is still being investigated, but UBS's current estimate of the loss on the trades is in the range of $2 billion," the bank said in a statement.

UBS employed almost 18,000 people in its investment bank at the end of June, most of them outside Switzerland, particularly in London and the United States.

"(This) is a staggering demonstration that all the clever systems that the banks now have, especially after the financial crisis, still cannot stop a determined individual getting round them if they want to," said Chris Roebuck, Visiting Professor at Cass Business School in London.

"It will yet again confirm to the majority of shareholders who are Swiss that investment banking is not 'proper' banking, as private banking is."

UBS had started to see client confidence return this year after it had to be rescued by the Swiss state in 2008 following massive losses on toxic assets held by its investment bank. The bank has had a history of major risk management glitches followed by repeated pledges to fix risk systems.

KERVIEL

Any losses in UBS's investment bank risk scaring rich clients and prompting a further flight from its huge private bank, the core of its business that used to be the world's biggest wealth manager but has slipped to third place.

"This loss has the scope to have a material impact on the perception of UBS's private bank, impacting its future operating trends," Goldman Sachs analysts Jernei Omahen and Peter Skoog said in a note.

"Today's announcement therefore adds to the long list of arguments (and pressure) for a substantially smaller investment bank."

UBS's news caused disbelief among market operators.

The last similar case was when Jerome Kerviel, then a trader at Societe Generale, racked up a $6.7 billion loss in unauthorized deals revealed in 2008. Kerviel was sentenced to three years in prison in October 2010.

Both Kerviel and Adoboli were the same age when the scandal broke and both worked with so-called Delta 1 products, derivatives which closely track the underlying securities and give the holder an easy way to gain exposure to several asset classes. Examples include equity swaps, forwards, futures and exchange-traded funds.

"It is amazing that this is still possible," said ZKB trading analyst Claude Zehnder. "They obviously have a problem with risk management. Even when the amount isn't so high, it is once more a loss of confidence that casts UBS in a poor light."

Switzerland's financial markets regulator FINMA said it had been informed of the case and was in close contact with UBS, while a regulatory source said Britain's Financial Services Authority was in close contact with Swiss authorities.

HEADS TO ROLL?

The bank has in the past two years tried to rebuild the investment bank that nearly felled it during the financial crisis. It needed a state bailout after heavy losses on U.S. subprime mortgage-related securities.

Under Gruebel and investment bank boss Carsten Kengeter -- themselves both once traders -- it hired hundreds of traders in a bid to boost its bond business.

Several analysts said the incident made it more likely Kengeter would be in the firing line, while Gruebel could step down sooner rather than later.

"Gruebel saved the bank from destruction, so his main job is done. It is only a matter of time before he steps down. If it means he leaves a little sooner, it does not change a lot. But the investment bank is a bit of a disaster, and the knives will be out for Kengeter," said Peter Thorne, analyst at Helvea.

Former Bundesbank head Axel Weber is due to join the UBS board in May and take over as chairman in 2013.

The weak performance of the investment bank and tough capital rules in Switzerland had already attracted intense scrutiny over how UBS will cope. Analysts have called for a retrenchment, while Swiss politicians are debating how to make sure big banks can weather future crises without having to be bailed out by the state.

($1 = 0.870 Swiss franc)

(Additional reporting by Andrew Thompson in Zurich, and Sarah White, Huw Jones, Steve Slater, Keith Weir, Stefano Ambrogi and Douwe Miedema in London; Writing by Sophie Walker and Alexander Smith; Editing by Dan Lalor and Will Waterman)

Thursday 15 September 2011

1 Stock for the Long Haul (The Motley Fool)

In the book Rule Breakers, Rule Makers, Motley Fool co-founder and CEO Tom Gardner lays out certain criteria for judging a company worthy of "rule maker" status, i.e., a company that's the undisputed king of its market space, making for an investment that can be profitably held onto for years.

This investing basics series takes well-known, consumer-facing companies and runs them step-by-step through Tom's merciless rule-maker gauntlet. Today we're looking at Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX - News), ubiquitous purveyor of caffeinated beverages and enabler of coffee addictions. For our analysis, we'll be using the earnings numbers Starbucks released for the quarter ending July 3.

1. Automatic for the people
In terms of mass-market, repeat-purchase, (relatively) low-priced goods, Starbucks is it. People across the country, and increasingly around the globe, equate Starbucks with great coffee and come back day after day to get their fix.

2. Pricing power
Gross margin indicates brand strength and pricing power, and at 58%, Starbucks' is extraordinarily healthy, coming in just shy of our top-tier benchmark of 60%. For comparison, peers Dunkin Donuts (Nasdaq: DNKN - News) and McDonald's (NYSE: MCD - News) come in at a mouth-scorching 80% and a pleasant 40%, respectively.

3. The top line
Who doesn't like to see revenue increase? Starbucks picked up $320 million in new revenue for the quarter, giving growth of 12.3% and handily surpassing our top-tier benchmark of 10%.

4. The bottom line
Net margin tells us how much profit a company makes from every dollar of sales. Starbucks' is 9.5%, coming in just shy of our top-tier benchmark of 10%.

5. Cash rules, Fools
Rule makers should be cash heavy and debt light, ideally having at least 1.5 times more cash than debt. A look at the balance sheet tells us Starbucks has $549.4 million in debt and $1.72 billion in cash, for a cash-to-debt ratio of 3.13. Well done, Starbucks.

6. Lean and mean
The Foolish flow ratio measures how well a company manages its inventory and cash. To calculate it, take current assets minus cash and divide by current liabilities. Starbucks comes in at 1.0, telling us the company is keeping its inventory and accounts receivables low and paying suppliers on its own terms. The best companies have Foolish flow ratios of 1.0 or less.

7. What's in a name?
A lot. Your familiarity and interest in a company help you understand exactly what the business does and how it makes money, thereby lowering your overall risk. For me, Starbucks and its already iconic brand and simple business model get top marks.

Pretender to the throne, or king?
Mass-market appeal. Solid pricing power. Exceptional top and bottom lines. A great Foolish flow ratio and an easily understandable business model.

There's no doubt Starbucks is a coffee, and profit, making machine, but is it a rule maker? Stay tuned for Part 2 of this article, where we torture the numbers even more and find out what makes a rule maker a rule maker, and whether you should put your money where your latte is.

Fool contributor Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Starbucks and McDonald's. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Detroit Three, UAW extend contract, keep talking (AP)

DETROIT – Negotiations between General Motors, Chrysler and the United Auto Workers union continued Thursday even though bargainers missed a key deadline to agree on a new contract.

The union, which represents 111,000 workers at Detroit's carmakers, agreed to keep working under the old GM and Chrysler contracts, which expired Wednesday at 11:59 p.m.

General Motors Co. appeared close to a deal. Its talks with the union resumed at 10 a.m. EDT Thursday. The automaker has taken the lead on the negotiations and its agreement may be used as a model for the other two companies.

"We are hopeful that an agreement can be reached soon," UAW leaders said in a statement early Thursday. "While we have made significant progress, we have not been able to secure a new agreement."

Chrysler Group LLC's negotiations were strained, however. Just before Wednesday's contract expiration, CEO Sergio Marchionne wrote an angry letter to the UAW president saying that he failed to show up to finalize a deal. Chrysler would say only that both sides are talking.

The UAW has already extended its contract with Ford Motor Co.

The negotiations, which began earlier this summer, will determine wages and benefits for workers at all three companies. They will also set the bar for wages at auto parts companies, U.S. factories run by foreign automakers and other manufacturers, which employ hundreds of thousands of people. The talks are the first since GM and Chrysler needed government aid to make it through bankruptcy protection in 2009.

The union wants bigger profit-sharing checks instead of pay raises, higher pay for entry-level workers and guarantees of new jobs. Ford and GM want to cut labor costs, while Chrysler wants to hold its costs steady. Health care costs are also an issue.

Once agreements are reached, workers will vote on them.

Up until Wednesday's deadline, the negotiations seemed free of the acrimony marking past talks. As part of the bailouts, GM and Chrysler workers agreed not to strike over wages. In the past, workers might have gone on strike.

But the mood of the talks turned tense for Chrysler. Marchionne complained Wednesday that he had been snubbed by UAW President Bob King. That caused the two sides to miss the deadline for the new agreement, he wrote.

"I know we are the smallest of the three automakers here in Detroit, but that does not make us less relevant," Marchionne said in the letter, which was obtained by The Associated Press.

Marchionne said a few mainly economic issues separate the two sides. He told King in the letter that he would travel out of the country for business and will return next week. He said he would agree to a weeklong extension of Chrysler's current contract.

"We did not accomplish what leaders who have been tasked with the turning of a new page for this industry should have done," he wrote.

King would not comment on the letter when reached by telephone early Thursday.

King spent much of the day Wednesday negotiating with GM, but it was unclear why he didn't appear at Chrysler's Auburn Hills, Mich., headquarters.

It's likely that any setback at Chrysler is temporary. The union has an interest in reaching a deal. A union-run trust that pays retiree health care bills owns more than 40 percent of Chrysler. Chrysler has turned a small profit in the first half of the year, excluding a one-time accounting charge for refinancing government bailout debts.

GM nearly ran out of cash and needed $49.5 billion from the government to survive. But it's made billions in the last two years because its debt and costs were lowered in bankruptcy and its new products have been selling well.

Under terms of both companies' bailouts, unresolved issues can be taken to binding arbitration, and the union's new contracts must keep the companies' labor costs competitive with Asian automakers such as Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor Co.

IMF chief urges bold action to tackle crisis (Reuters)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The head of the International Monetary Fund on Thursday urged advanced countries to take bold action to break a vicious cycle of weak growth and high debt that threatens the global economy and has been worsened by dysfunctional politics.

"Without collective, bold action, there is a real risk that the major economies slip back instead of moving forward," IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in a speech ahead of IMF and World Bank meetings next week.

She said global growth was slowing, with advanced economies facing an "anemic and bumpy recovery." In contrast, emerging economies faced overheating pressures with rising inflation, strong credit growth and expanding current account deficits.

Lagarde said timid economic growth and weak public balance sheets in developed nations were feeding negatively on each other, fueling a crisis of confidence and restraining demand, investment and employment.

"This vicious cycle is gaining momentum and, frankly, it has been exacerbated by policy indecision and political dysfunction," Lagarde said.

(Editing by Andrea Ricci)

Oil rises as concerns ease for eurozone (AP)

NEW YORK – Oil climbed near $90 per barrel Thursday on some potentially positive developments in Europe.

The European Central Bank said it will provide banks with enough cash to make lending easier. The ECB coordinated its efforts with the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank to offer three-month dollar loans to banks through the end of this year.

Fears of a Greek bankruptcy also subsided as France and Germany reaffirmed their support for the country, insisting that it remains an "integral" part of the eurozone. Greece relies on emergency funds from the European Union.

The news pushed the dollar lower. And oil, which is priced in U.S. currency, tends to rise as the dollar falls and makes barrels cheaper for investors holding foreign money.

Benchmark crude added 77 cents to $89.68 per barrel in New York while Brent crude jumped $2.75 to $112.40 in London.

"It's a dose of good news," independent analyst Jim Ritterbusch said. He warned, however, that Europe is far from solving its myriad economic problems. Investors still worry that Greece's financial troubles will spread to its neighbors and further slowdown a eurozone economy that consumes almost 18 percent of the world's oil.

Thursday's announcements out of Europe outweighed a slew of troubling economic reports released in the U.S.

The government said the number of people applying for unemployment benefits jumped last week to the highest level in three months. And industrial production ticked up 0.2 percent last month, lower than July's 0.9 percent increase.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia also said manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic region contracted in September for the third time in four months.

U.S. drivers continue to pay much more this year for gasoline. At $3.623 per gallon, retail gasoline is 89.2 cents higher than it was last year. The Oil Price Information Service estimates that Americans will pay a record $492 billion for gasoline in 2011.

In other commodities trading, heating oil rose 7.1 cents to $3.016 per gallon and gasoline futures increased 5.69 cents to $2.7827 per gallon. Natural gas fell 12.1 cents to $3.918 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Tuesday 13 September 2011

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Monday 12 September 2011

How to make money online while writing on Xomba

Have you even heard about Xomba? Xomba is an online community that allows its users to make money online while writing their articles for them. No doubt Xomba is not a get rich scheme, but it can earn you some extra dollars with little effort that you put in submitting your articles here. But there are some users available on Xomba that are able to earn hundreds of dollar on their single article that they wrote for Xomba. On Xomba, your article will get lots of visibility and wider viewing.
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  1. Click here to create an account on Xomba if you already don’t have an account on Xomba and create a Google Adsense account using your profile page URL if you already don’t have an Adsense account. And if you already have an Adsense account, add your Adsense Client ID in your profile page when you Click Edit.
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The AdSense revenue share

Today, in the spirit of greater transparency with AdSense publishers, we’re sharing the revenue shares for our two main AdSense products — AdSense for content and AdSense for search.

As you may already know, AdSense is comprised of several products. The most popular are AdSense for content, which allows publishers to generate revenue from ads placed alongside web content, and AdSense for search, which allows publishers to place a custom Google search engine on their site and generate revenue from ads shown next to search results. Since AdSense for content and AdSense for search offer publishers different services, the revenue shared with publishers differs for each of these products.

AdSense for content publishers, who make up the vast majority of our AdSense publishers, earn a 68% revenue share worldwide. This means we pay 68% of the revenue that we collect from advertisers for AdSense for content ads that appear on your sites. The remaining portion that we keep reflects Google's costs for our continued investment in AdSense — including the development of new technologies, products and features that help maximize the earnings you generate from these ads. It also reflects the costs we incur in building products and features that enable our AdWords advertisers to serve ads on our AdSense partner sites. Since launching AdSense for content in 2003, this revenue share has never changed.

We pay our AdSense for search partners a 51% revenue share, worldwide, for the search ads that appear through their implementations. As with AdSense for content, the proportion of revenue that we keep reflects our costs, including the significant expense, research and development involved in building and enhancing our core search and AdWords technologies. The AdSense for search revenue share has remained the same since 2005, when we increased it.

We also offer additional AdSense products including AdSense for mobile applications, AdSense for feeds, and AdSense for games. We aren’t disclosing the revenue shares for these products at this time because they’re quickly evolving, and we're still learning about the costs associated with supporting them. Revenue shares for these products can vary from product to product since our costs in building and maintaining these products can vary significantly. Additionally, the revenue shares for AdSense for content and AdSense for search also can vary for major online publishers with whom we negotiate individual contracts.

Of course, we can’t guarantee that the revenue share will never change (our costs may change significantly, for example), but we don’t have any current plans to do so for any AdSense product. Over the next few months we’ll begin showing the revenue shares for AdSense for content and AdSense for search right in the AdSense interface.

We hope this additional transparency helps you gain more insight into your business partnership with Google. We believe our revenue share is very competitive, and the vast number of advertisers who compete to appear on AdSense sites helps to ensure that you’re earning the most from every ad impression. Additionally, when considering different monetization options, we encourage you to focus on the total revenue generated from your site, rather than just revenue share, which can be misleading. For example, you would receive $68 with AdSense for content for $100 worth of advertising that appeared on your site. If another ad network offers an 80% revenue share, but is only able to collect $50 from ads served on your site, you would earn $40. In this case, a higher revenue share wouldn’t make up for the lower revenue yield of the other ad network.

We are continuously working to help improve the performance of your site while giving you more control and knowledge of AdSense. For example, we keep improving our technology to deliver ads, even better match and attract even more advertisers to their websites. He also recently began offering a more granular to find and review the ads on your site, as well as the ability to filter more ads by category. We are also focused on finding other ways to make AdSense better for you. As you may recall, last December, we asked for their ideas and comments about how we can best AdSense. We received over 600 suggestions and votes 35,000, and we have been reviewing them all.

Keep an eye on this blog for news about the new features we are building to help maximize advertising revenue.

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Sunday 11 September 2011

SEC suspends destruction of enforcement records (Reuters)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The top lawyer at the Securities and Exchange Commission this week ordered the enforcement division to cease destroying all investigative records after an internal whistleblower complained the agency was wrongfully discarding important records.

The order, which was disclosed in a September 7 letter from SEC General Counsel Mark Cahn to the whistleblower's attorney Gary Aguirre, is the latest development in a saga that arose from allegations that the agency has been destroying important investigative files.

The whistleblower, SEC attorney Darcy Flynn, first raised concerns about document destruction in July of last year. At the time, his concerns were focused on documents known as "matters under inquiry," or MUIs, which are preliminary investigative records.

Flynn referred his concerns to the National Archives, which last month issued a statement saying the SEC had destroyed the records without the proper authority, but that it was working with the SEC to prevent future problems and was satisfied the destruction had ceased.

But in a letter sent to SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro and SEC Inspector General David Kotz on September 6, Flynn's attorney raised new concerns that the SEC is still wrongfully destroying records.

This time, however, the allegations extend beyond just preliminary investigative records to include documents from formal probes, such as records pertaining to closed investigations.

In light of this latest complaint, Cahn decided to suspend the destruction of all investigative records until further notice.

"We have been working with (The National Archives and Records Administration) for records retention, and have determined to suspend the current policy out of an abundance of caution until a new policy is in place," SEC spokesman John Nester said.

The issue of the document destruction has recently drawn scrutiny from numerous members of Congress, including Republican Senator Charles Grassley, who sent the SEC a letter last month seeking an explanation.

Kotz is also investigating the destruction of the preliminary investigative records.

It is unclear if he will expand his probe to look into the allegations in the September 6 letter.

(Reporting by Sarah N. Lynch; Editing by Tim Dobbyn)

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Housing sector seen limping along: Reuters poll (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The struggling U.S. housing market is expected to fall a little further as it searches for a bottom, but home prices are seen ticking up modestly in 2012, according to a Reuters poll released on Friday.

Economists were divided on whether the worst would be over for the housing market by the end of the year or if it will take more time to reach a floor.

Existing home sales are expected to improve only modestly. The forecasts from the poll are consistent with expectations the housing sector will continue to limp along in a weakened state for years to come.

Housing has been unable to find its footing since its collapse in 2007, despite multi-billion dollar government programs and ultra-low interest rates.

Indeed, fixed and one-year adjustable mortgage rates hit new record lows in the week ended Sept 8, but analysts did not expect it to spur a rush of buying.

Concerns another recession is looming, high unemployment and tight credit have kept buyers out of the market, leaving a glut of homes for sale that has driven down prices.

While so-called "distressed" sales at drastically reduced prices has helped absorb some of the homes on the market, ongoing foreclosures are expected to keep the market anemic.

"There's still a huge pipeline of homes that are going to be foreclosed upon and the weak job market certainly isn't helping," said Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James, in St. Petersburg, Florida.

A recovery in the housing market is dependent on improvement in the labor market and broader economy, analysts said.

"One of the big concerns is you've got a lot of homes where the mortgage holder is still underwater and most of those homeowners will continue to make payments," said Brown.

"It gets to be a problem, however, if somebody loses their job, somebody gets sick, there's a divorce or something where the home has to be sold."

U.S. home prices -- as measured by Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index -- will fall 3.8 percent for the year, before stabilizing and gaining 0.8 percent in 2012, according to the median forecast of 22 economists in the Reuters poll taken over the past week.

The expectations were improved from the previous Reuters housing poll in June, which forecast prices would fall 5.0 percent this year and rise just 0.5 percent next year.

The forecasts for the changes in the home price index for this year had a wide range, from a decline of 14.0 percent to a gain of 0.1 percent. The forecasts for 2012 had a smaller gap, from a decline of 6.0 percent to a gain of 4.0 percent.

Of 28 economists polled, 14 said that prices had either already hit bottom this year or would by the fourth quarter. Twelve respondents said prices won't reach a trough until 2012, while one forecast 2013 and one expected it would take until 2014.

In the third quarter, the pace of existing home sales is expected to come in at a 4.78 million annualized rate and will edge up to 4.95 million in the fourth quarter. Sales of previously owned homes were at an annual rate of 4.67 million units in July, according to data from the National Association of Realtors.

Economists saw the rate of home sales coming in at 5.1 million for both the first and second quarter of next year.

"New foreclosures peaked in 2009, but the inventory of foreclosed homes will decline only slowly," said David Berson, chief economist at mortgage insurer PMI Group.

Economists forecast the average 30-year mortgage rate would be 4.5 percent for the year, lower than June's forecast for 4.82 percent.

(Polling by Sumanta Dey and Somya Gupta)

What the Bank of America shake-up means for you (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The recent executive shakeup at Bank of America (BAC.N) followed by reports of massive layoffs at the bank may leave you wondering what the turmoil means for you - either as a client of the banking colossus and Merrill Lynch, the brokerage firm it owns, or as a shareholder.

As experts ponder these moves - which include the departure of Sallie Krawcheck, head of the bank's wealth management unit and Merrill's public face - they see a rocky period in the days ahead for the company's shareholders, but not necessarily its clients.

IF YOU ARE A MERRILL LYNCH CUSTOMER

What should Merrill customers do? If you like your financial adviser, a shake-up at the top shouldn't impact a good financial planning relationship. "This announcement does not affect how Merrill Lynch financial advisers interact with clients," says Selena Morris, a Bank of America spokesperson. "By reorganizing Bank of America around its three core client groups, the company is ensuring that it delivers the best of what it has to offer to clients."

Larry and Sandy Reed of Oak Park, Illinois, say they aren't going anywhere with their investments because the connection they have with the firm - and their adviser - is deep.

"We've worked with Merrill Lynch since 1981 because my uncle worked there at that time, and my grandfather had given us stock through Merrill Lynch for our wedding," Sandy Reed says. While she initially came to Merrill because of family ties, she takes comfort these days in Warren Buffett's decision to invest $5 billion in Bank of America last month.

The Reeds find other Bank of America headlines troubling, including those involving controversial mortgage practices at Countrywide Financial, which the bank purchased in 2008.

Existing clients should ponder whether Bank of America's financial woes will put too much pressure on the company to change its bottom line - meaning that Merrill's advisers may have a new agenda, such as pushing products that generate the most profits for the bank.

"Is the adviser doing what's best for me, or is the adviser doing what's best for the company?" says Jack Waymire, founder of Paladin Registry, an information services provider that rates financial advisers. "I would view Merrill Lynch more as a distribution system to sell products; in this environment, Bank of America just tells Merrill Lynch to sell its products."

That may not pose problems on its own. But Waymire, author of "Who's Watching Your Money?", believes Merrill Lynch and other big Wall Street firms now put their profits way ahead of investor gains.

"If you've got these household names handling your money, you may feel relatively safe," he says. "Merrill has all these resources, and they're using sales skills to convince you they're experts. The advisers are not even managing the money half the time. It's a big, big mess and it's not going to be cleaned up anytime soon."

The bank disagrees. "These comments are woefully dated and do not reflect the reality of how our financial advisers serve their clients," says Bank of America spokeswoman Morris. Nine out of 10 clients would recommend a Merrill adviser to their family and friends, she notes. "The average length of our relationship with clients is 13 years, and our client attrition rates are in the low single digits," adds Morris. "Our training program for advisers is the longest and most rigorous in the industry."

Moreover, Merrill Lynch "is hiring in a big way," says David A. Geracioti, editor in chief of Registered Rep magazine and RegisteredRep.com. This has generally meant forcing out financial advisers who produce less than $400,000 per year -prompting some defections of long-time Merrill advisers to the likes of HighTower, a Chicago-based aggregator of financial adviser firms.

For customers sticking with Merrill, such as the Reeds, there is good news: "Client assets have held up pretty well, all things considered," Geracioti says. "The only way Bank of America would spin out its best-performing unit is if it had to 'burn the furniture' to raise capital. In fact, Merrill Lynch is the crown jewel of Bank of America, one of the bright spots in an otherwise troubled company."

IF YOU ARE A BANK OF AMERICA SHAREHOLDER

Bad news has dogged Bank of America since the 2008 financial crisis. The bank has lost half its share value since January and reported an $8.8 billion quarterly loss in July. Much of that loss is related to a settlement over lingering mortgage problems, stemming from the bank's ill-timed purchase of Countrywide Financial. And reports estimate layoffs of 40,000 employees in the coming months (see http://link.reuters.com/nav63s).

By realigning its management team, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank is another effort to turn fortunes around. David Darnell, who rose to a newly-created co-COO position, will direct retail banking and take over Krawcheck's duties, which include supervising more than 16,000 financial advisers.

"If you're a Merrill investor, you're a Bank of America investor now," says Bill DeShurko, author of "The Naked Truth About Your Money" (Penguin) and president/owner of 401 Advisor, LLC in Centerville, Ohio. "And here's the concern: You've got a bank that's in financial trouble. There's no question about that; the stock market is not so stupid to value Bank of America at $7 a share if they didn't have serious problems."

Several brokerages are trimming their earnings estimates for the company. Skeptics say Bank of America needs an extreme makeover, which could include spinning off Merrill Lynch, a Chapter 11 restructuring or placing all of the rotting mortgages into a new entity.

Even the bulls who believe Bank of America can earn its way out of its problems freely admit that the bank's stock is not likely to do much the next several years. Says Australian hedge fund manager John Hempton, whose Bronte Capital owns a sizable stake in Bank of America: "I own a zombie bank."

IF YOU ARE A BANK OF AMERICA CUSTOMER

On the surface, Bank of America would seem, like Merrill Lynch, to fall into what Waymire calls the "too big to die" bracket. It serves about 58 million consumer and small business relationships with approximately 5,700 retail banking offices, 17,800 ATMs and an online banking system with 30 million active users, according to bank statistics.

Yet it also has one big, fat albatross on its balance sheets: Countrywide Financial. Bank of America acquired Countrywide for $4 billion, a deal that has proven a huge headache not just in dollars and cents, but in terms of the bank's reputation. "Basically all the mortgages that Countrywide produced from 2004 to 2007 were excrement," Geracioti says. "The question is: What are Bank of America's liabilities from Countrywide? Some say $100 billion, others say, 'Who knows?' The liabilities could be ginormous. The government is hassling the bank in a big way."

Bank of America has long held that Countrywide's problems were it own doing. But on September 2, the Federal Housing Finance Agency sued 17 firms - including Bank of America and Countrywide - for violations of federal securities laws in the sale of mortgage-backed securities. In an 88-page filing, the FHFA alleges that around 2005, top executives of Countrywide - which it labels as a "notorious mortgage lender" for its practice - "complained to each other at the time that BOA's appetite for risky products was greater than that of Countywide."

What does all of this mean for customers? Layoffs could impact customer service, but chances are the bank will pull out all of the stops to keep your business, which may include slashing your mortgage rate or extending any existing credit lines, assuming you have excellent credit scores.

Geracioti is a satisfied customer. The bank recently lowered the interest rate on his credit card - "by a lot," he says.

(Additional reporting by Jennifer Ablan. Editing by Lauren Young)

US oil and gas rig count down 10 this week (AP)

HOUSTON – The number of rigs actively exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. decreased by 10 this week to 1,958, led by a big drop in Texas.

Houston-based drilling product provider Baker Hughes Inc. reported Friday that 1,057 rigs were exploring for oil and 892 for natural gas. Nine were listed as miscellaneous. A year ago this week the rig count stood at 1,654.

Of the major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas lost 14 rigs, and Louisiana dropped two. New Mexico and Wyoming fell by one each.

Oklahoma gained eight rigs, while North Dakota and Colorado went up two apiece. Alaska and West Virginia each gained one.

Arkansas, California and Pennsylvania were unchanged.

The rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. A low of 488 was recorded in 1999.

How to play it: Potential winners on Obama's Jobs Act plan (Reuters)

* THE ISSUE: President Barack Obama called on Congress late Thursday to pass a $447 billion package of spending initiatives and tax cuts to boost economic growth and generate jobs. Here are several investment ideas based on his proposals.

By Manuela Badawy

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Obama's American Jobs Act, which he announced to a rare joint session of Congress late Thursday, includes proposals for a $175 billion one-year extension and expansion of the employee payroll tax holiday that would halve the tax rate to 3.1 percent in 2012 as well as a $65 billion tax break to encourage small businesses to hire more workers. The Act also features $50 billion in spending to upgrade highways, transit, rail and aviation infrastructure.

Wall Street stocks tumbled on Friday as the surprise resignation of a European Central Bank executive board member and skepticism over President Obama's economic stimulus spending plans weighed on sentiment.

The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 233.93 points, or 2.07 percent, to 11,061.88. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 22.55 points, or 1.90 percent, to 1,163.35, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 36.24 points, or 1.43 percent, to 2,492.90.

SMALL BUSINESS PAYROLL TAX CUTS

Consumer discretionary stocks could be helped by the announced moves to help small business. The Obama push is expected to help families with combined incomes of $80,000, said Bernie Williams, vice president of discretionary money management for USAA.

Dollar Tree stores could gain if this stimulates hiring at this income level, added Brian Lazorishak, a portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel with $1 billion in assets under management. McDonald's and Starbucks Corp. and other restaurants could benefit as well, Lazorishak said.

Small business service providers like Intuit, the maker of TurboTax and Quicken accounting software, and those related to staffing that are directly tied to employment are likely to get a boost.

"This financial crisis was a consumer-led recession, so anything that you can do to prop up the consumer and spending is good," said Williams of USAA. The tax cut is a direct injection to consumers' pockets.

"That money will get spent. It will get spent more in necessities, like the Targets of the world, staples companies," said Williams, who has direct management of $4 billion from high net worth individuals. "They will have that stimulus this year and next year if that gets passed."

INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS

Obama's spending allotment included a healthy dose of funding for public infrastructure, an area of focus in the 2009 'stimulus bill,' and a traditional area of focus for the current administration, J.P. Morgan noted in a report Friday.

The firm said beneficiaries could include aggregate-focused companies Marietta, Vulcan Materials and Eagle Materials and infrastructure-focused firms such as URS Corp., Jacobs Engineer and Fluor Corp.

Keith Wirtz, chief investment officer at Fifth Third Asset Management, with $18 billion in assets, added that capital investment in infrastructure has him bullish on shares of Caterpillar Inc., Fastenal Co. and Cummins Inc..

"Fastenal, for example, is a construction supplies company. It markets globally, experiencing a strong top-line, and is shareholder friendly via dividend growth rate. This fits into the whole infrastructure play," he said.

Janna Sampson, co-chief investment officer at OakBrook Investments LLC in Lisle, Illinois, shared Wirtz's sentiments.

"Caterpillar, Navistar -- the big earth-moving equipment and construction vehicles -- would benefit on additional spending in construction," Sampson said.

MORE CONSTRUCTION PLAYS

Government-funded projects including $30 billion to modernize at least 35,000 public schools and $27 billion for investment in the nation's highway system is "significant" for the construction sector, said Robert Gardiner of Davy Research.

"The act in its current form would be a significant positive for CRH (highways and refurbishment projects) and Wolseley (refurbishment projects)," Gardiner said.

Overall, whatever the federal government does to help states will tend to help cash-stressed local governments, which could consequently help municipal bonds.

Munis should outperform in this environment, Morgan Stanley said in a report. But too much stimulus might boost interest rates. That would not be great news for fixed-income investments like munis, which lose value as rates go up, though the appetite for yield could negate that possibility.

Whether the Obama proposal will actually get passed in a gridlocked Congress remains a major issue. Early results from investors indicate skepticism.

Shares of Dollar Tree were down 1.12 percent while McDonald's and Starbucks stocks were under more selling pressure in mid-day trading on Friday. McDonald's fell 4.65 percent and Starbucks dropped 3.37 percent.

(Additional reporting by Chip Barnett, Rodrigo Campos and Sam Forgione; Editing by Richard Satran, Walden Siew and Jennifer Ablan)

Kroger Co. earnings summary (AP)

PROFIT, SALES UP: Cincinnati-based Kroger Co. reported its sales and profits rose in the second quarter, with 5.3 percent sales growth in stores open at least 15 months, a key retail indicator.

GLOOMY SHOPPERS: Kroger executives say shoppers are feeling more pessimistic about the economy; worried about higher prices, unemployment and stock market volatility.

STOCK SLIDES: Investors seemed concerned about lower profit margins and bleaker consumer sentiment in the highly competitive grocery business. Kroger shares were lower amid a broad market decline on Friday.

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